Quarterly Outlooks Page

Vantage Consulting Group often issues an Economic Outlook and Quarterly Review. You may browse most recent Outlooks below.

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2007
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    Summary:

    Real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2007 exceeded expectations. Revisions of the 3.4% advanced estimates by the Bureau of Economic Analysis may occur in the future, but a big rebound from the revised .6% first quarter growth rate clearly occurred in the second quarter. Real GDP increased 1....

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2007
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    Summary:

    Real GDP growth slowed to a 1.3% annualized rate in the first quarter according to advanced estimates by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The consensus forecast called for a 1.9% first quarter GDP growth rate. Fourth quarter GDP growth was revised downward to a 2.5% rate from the advanced...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Fourth Quarter 2006
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    Summary:

    Advanced estimates by the Bureau of Economic Analysis shows an accelerated real GDP growth rate of 3.5% in the fourth quarter of 2006 compared to a revised 2% rate for the third quarter. Fourth quarter growth was well ahead of a consensus 3% forecast. For the year, GDP growth was 3.4%. Real...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Third Quarter 2006
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    Summary:

    The economy grew at a real rate of only 1.6% in the third quarter, according to preliminary data released by the Commerce Department. Weak third quarter growth followed moderate growth in the second quarter of 2.6% and strong growth of 5.6% in the first quarter of 2006. Slower growth is largely...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Second Quarter 2006
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    Summary:

    Advanced reports show that the economy grew at a 2.5% real rate in the second quarter of 2006 following a revised growth rate of 5.6% in the first quarter. A preliminary analysis of inventory data and construction growth suggests that the 2.5% growth rate is likely to be revised upward....

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2006
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    Summary:

    The economy grew at a 4.8% real rate in the first quarter according to preliminary data released by the Commerce Department. Labor markets are tight with a 4.7% unemployment rate, but employment costs remain relatively low. The Employment Cost Index rose only .6% in the first quarter compared to...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Fourth Quarter 2005
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    Summary:

    The advanced estimate of 1.1% real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2005 came as a big surprise to analysts who expected real growth to be about 2.8%. For the year, GDP growth was 3.5%, continuing a solid annual growth pattern for the third year in a row. Inflation driven by higher fuel...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Third Quarter 2005
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    Summary:

    The Commerce Department announced a third quarter real GDP growth rate of 3.8%, which is slightly ahead of expectations. Third quarter growth makes the real GDP growth on a year-to-date basis a healthy 3.6%. The economy remains resilient to unexpected shocks in oil prices, weather damage, and...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Second Quarter 2005
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    Summary:

    The economy grew 3.4% in real terms during the second quarter of 2005 following a revised first quarter growth rate of 3.8%. Second quarter growth was in line with the first quarter’s Outlook expectation of 3.25% to 3.5%, but it generally came in higher than most analysts expected. Significant...

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2005
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    Summary:

    The economy grew at a less than expected 3.1% rate in the first quarter of 2005 following a 3.8% GDP growth rate in the fourth quarter of 2004. The economy softened late in the fist quarter, largely due to higher energy prices and slumping consumer confidence. Inflation measures were higher than...

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